Lucknow/Azamgarh. Before the assembly elections of 2022, the BSP has once again suffered a major setback. In the past, after all the strong leaders one after the other, the leader of the BSP’s Legislature Party, Shah Alam alias Guddu Jamali, has also resigned from the BSP. In UP, all the parties have some such seats which have been considered their strong fort. Such is the Mubarakpur seat of Azamgarh district, the district is known as an impregnable fort of BSP. Whatever government has been in the state from 1996 till now, but the Mubarakpur seat has always been in the bag of Bahujan Samaj Party. Now there is a deep rift in it. Shah Alam alias Guddu Jamali, who was MLA from BSP for the second consecutive time, has left the party. In such a situation, the big question arises whether BSP will be able to retain this seat even in the 2022 elections.
Whatever party has been in government in the state for the last 25 years, but Mubarakpur seat The people reposed their trust in the BSP itself. From 1996 till now, this strong fort of BSP did not make any difference to the wave of any party. Even though the candidates kept changing, the seat always went to the account of BSP. For the first time this seat was won by Yashwant Singh of BSP in 1996. Yashwant Singh left the party in the 2002 elections. They lost. Legislature remained with BSP and Chandradev Ram Yadav won. In 2007, Chandradev again became an MLA from BSP.
BSP’s margin of victory reduced
In 2012, even in the SP wave, Shah Alam alias Guddu Jamali won from BSP from here. After this, he also won in the BJP wave of 2017. Now he has left the party. A few days ago, Mayawati had made her the leader of the Legislature Party, expressing her confidence in Guddu Jamali. He was given this chair after Lalji Verma was expelled from the party. Now the question is arising whether this seat will not slip from the hands of BSP due to Guddu Jamali leaving the party. Let us tell you that even though the BSP has occupied this seat for the last 25 years, but its position has not looked very strong. That is, the margin of victory of the party has not been huge. In 1996, the party won this seat by just 6622 votes. In 2002 there was a margin of 9276 votes.
Guddu Jamali refused to join the party
In 2007, the margin of victory came down to just 2476. In 2012, Guddu Jamali won by 8587 votes, but in 2017 the situation got worse. He could win by just 688 votes. Ever since the BSP has been winning this seat, every time except once, the SP has been at number two. That is, if the inclination of a few votes towards SP increases, then the seat will go out of the hands of BSP. While talking to News18, even though Guddu Jamali has refused to join any other party, but it is being speculated that Guddu Jamali will join the SP soon. If he descends from Mubarakpur from SP, the chances of the seat slipping out of the hands of BSP will increase.