Lucknow. Akhilesh Yadav from Azamgarh and Azam Khan from Rampur were elected MPs in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Despite this, both the leaders contested the 2022 UP assembly elections and won. Akhilesh Yadav was elected MLA from Karhal seat of Mainpuri district and Azam Khan from Rampur. In such a situation, he had to leave his MP. Due to this, by-elections to the Lok Sabha are going to be held on both the vacant seats. Voting will be held on June 23 and counting of votes on June 26. Today, on June 21, the election campaign will end at 5 pm.
Although the by-elections have been considered as the election of the ruling party, but in UP, the results are getting reversed for the last two times. The same time is knocking once again. So will the results change this time or will history repeat itself? What are the 10 things worth knowing related to the by-elections being held in both the seats, let us tell you.
1. The biggest discussion in this by-election is that why did Akhilesh Yadav keep himself away from the election campaign?
Is it their overconfidence or not? In both the seats, CM Yogi Adityanath held rallies one day each. Along with this, dozens of ministers of the government also kept camping. Other strong leaders of SP also campaigned fiercely, but Akhilesh Yadav did not even go to campaign in his seat Azamgarh. His cousin Dharmendra Yadav is contesting from here.
2. What will be the results of the by-election?
The answer to this question will be available on June 26, but both the seats have been with the SP for a long time. Mulayam Singh Yadav before Azamgarh seat Member of parliament If so, Akhilesh Yadav was elected now. Similarly, Azam Khan was captured in Rampur seat in 2019. To break this magic of Azam Khan, BJP has put all its strength.
3. Despite being in power, the by-elections on parliamentary seats have been painful for the BJP.
Earlier, by-elections were held in two parliamentary seats in UP. By-elections were held in Phulpur and Gorakhpur seats in Prayagraj in 2018. The by-elections were held after Keshav Maurya and Yogi Adityanath left the seat. Despite the BJP being in power in the state and at the Centre, the party lost both the seats. Both the seats were snatched from the BJP by the SP. Then SP and BSP fought the elections together.
4. What are the expectations for BJP on both the seats?
There is a general belief that Azamgarh and Rampur have always been strongholds of SP, but this is not the complete truth. BJP has already won both the seats. In 2014, Dr. Naipal Singh was elected BJP MP from Rampur. Similarly, Azamgarh seat was occupied by BJP in 2009. Ramakant Yadav had registered the victory. It is a different matter that he is now in SP.
5. In this election, the political equations have changed in comparison to the last election.
This is a big aspect related to the by-elections being held in both the seats. Compared to 2019, the old political equations have collapsed in this by-election. In the 2019 elections, SP and BSP contested together. This time both are different. By the way, BSP has not fielded its candidate from Rampur seat. But a unique politics has been seen in Rampur seat that here Congress leader Naved Mian has given support to the BJP. Naved Mian lost the 2022 assembly elections to Azam Khan.
6. Triangular in Azamgarh and face-to-face collision in Rampur.
In the 2019 elections, there was a face-to-face contest between the SP and the BJP in both the seats. Then SP and BSP had fought the Lok Sabha elections together but, this time the situation is different. In Azamgarh, BSP candidate Guddu Jamali has made the match triangular. Here Dinesh Lal Nirhua of BJP, Dharmendra Yadav of SP are the candidates. In Rampur too, this time no one from the Azam family is in the fray, but Azam Khan has fought his special Asim Raza.
7. BJP has not been able to make its hold on both the seats yet.
In the assembly elections held in March this year, the BJP may have got a massive victory in the entire state, but its condition was seen in Azamgarh and Rampur. In Azamgarh, BJP’s account was not even opened and SP won all 10 seats. In Rampur, it was a matter of some consolation for the BJP that out of the five assembly seats here, it got two, Vilaspur and Milak. However, the margin was so small that the BJP kept on losing.
8. BJP’s old bet in Azamgarh but a new game in Rampur.
BJP has not changed its candidate in Azamgarh. The way he fought the 2019 elections, he is also contesting the by-elections this time, but the BJP has laid a strong leaf for Rampur. From here, the party has raised another close one against Azam Khan’s close. That is, the trick of cutting iron with iron has been employed. BJP candidate from Rampur Ghanshyam Lodhi was once close to Azam Khan. Recently he had joined BJP.
9. The situation of SP has been weakening in Azamgarh in triangular contest.
It is a very interesting aspect that whenever there is a triangular contest in Azamgarh, then the condition of SP becomes weak. The election results are testimony to this. In 2019, when SP-BSP contested elections together, Akhilesh Yadav won by 2 lakh 60 thousand, but in the 2014 elections, Mulayam Singh Yadav could win only by 63 thousand. Such has been the old record. This time too there is a triangular contest. That is why SP has also put all its strength for Dharmendra Yadav.
10. The litmus test of SP’s M-Y factor.
Akhilesh Yadav has been accused of ignoring the Muslim community for some time now. After the assembly elections, there was a flood of Muslim leaders leaving the SP. Now at least in Azamgarh, its litmus test will be done. Due to the Muslim-Yadav factor, the SP has been looking invincible on this seat, but the BSP has made the game interesting by fielding only one Muslim candidate. It is being said that if the BSP candidate Guddu Jamali breaks into the Muslim community and he gets the full vote of the Dalit class, then a big challenge will arise for the SP to save the seat. Two types of wind are also being made in favor of Guddu Jamali. Firstly, Jamali is the only local candidate and secondly whether a Muslim MP from UP will not reach the Parliament. It has to be seen what action and reaction is there.
FIRST PUBLISHED : June 21, 2022, 16:15 IST